Probability of Survival

Update – 3/25

Bonnie is home!!! As of 0100.


Bonnie went missing at the peak of a violent wind and rain storm at 4 pm Wednesday March 19th. That evening our outside temperature dropped to 40F.

The storm and rain, temperature, a bullet wound, being chased by well-meaning people and a fragile single front leg … weigh heavy against her survival. The deluge she endured would have wiped all scent clean, disabling her ability to naturally wind her way home.

If she survived the night, the continuing precipitation further eliminated her opportunities to scent her way back to familiar places.

Holding out hope? We still do. But a pragmatic assessment would interpret the likelihood of her survival at only a few percent. If that much.

I harbor a certain feeling, a fear – which has has long been our worry when she would charge around so happy and fast – that in her panic she eventually fractured her single front leg. I can only hope that the cold caused her to fall asleep.

The Osteosarcoma that cost her the left front leg at one year old, probably eventually got her – but in this tragic manner. The result could not be more painful for all to whom she had endeared herself.

We’re honored to have cared for her these six or so years. She was a ‘rescue’ from another Oregon town, with a very difficult start. She never overcame her fear of riding in the car.

Why this exercise? A pragmatic assessment – Hard facts in account? Documenting the last hours of a storm-panicked German Shorthaired Pointer?

It’s approaching time to close this chapter…

$500 paid for rescue or recovery

One response to “Probability of Survival”

  1. […] Probabilities – What to expect for an outcome? […]

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